The LNP secured 35.3 per cent of the primary vote, with half of the vote counted on Saturday night. Labor has secured 49.78 per cent of those, ahead of the LNP on 40.84 per cent. The Liberal/National government also won with a large 55%+ majority in 1996 before losing in 2001, with Labor gaining a swing of 8.1%, which had been the record over recent decades prior to the 2017 result. Queensland Liberal National Party leader Deb Frecklington says she will call a party-room vote for a new leader once the election results are declared. So i mmediately the election was called Labor announced the approval of another coal mine in the Galilee Basin behind Bowen (while simultaneously refusing to deal with Stage 3 of Acland’s New Hope mine, which is far away on the Darling Downs). Nedlands is also still in play. I’ll be back later today with more considered and extensive analysis. If anything the swing was bigger. I’m going to run through the voting numbers between these regions, which shows the impact of the malapportionment. Photograph: Jono Searle/Getty Images ... It’s very difficult to know what to make of the seat calls so far. There hasn’t been a single election since 1980 which has seen a swing anywhere near as big as we saw in Western Australia in 2017. Off four booths, the Labor primary vote is up 18% to 47%. Here are the positions in North West Queensland declared so far by Electoral Commission Queensland. ... queensland election 2020. We have experienced two federal by-elections, one state election, two territory elections and council elections in Queensland (which is traditionally attendance-based) and Victoria (where postal voting is universal). 2020 QLD state election results ... Only three seats have changed hands so far tonight but there’s still a chance for a few more to swap hands from the six still in doubt. 7:00pm – I’ve been moving up the pendulum. If you find this work useful, please consider signing up to support The Tally Room on Patreon. Wednesday 3pm: Mackay council election results have been updated on the Electoral Commission Queensland website for the first time in three days. 8:35pm – We still don’t have much in the way of actual preference counts, but the latest primary vote figures are impressive enough. Counting on Saturday night showed the Coalition was polling far more strongly than opinion polls suggested, on the back of a surprise swing in Queensland and a poor result for Labor in that state. Also remember that you can vote both above and below the line. The benefits of incumbency during the COVID crisis coupled with a superior campaign by the ALP position the party to overpower the Liberal National Party, though the election result is likely to be tight and a hung parliament remains possible. QLD COUNCIL ELECTIONS: ROLLING COVERAGE. 7.45PM: CLOSE to 30 per cent of the votes have been counted so far and McCallum remains in the lead at … He is seeing double-digit two-party-preferred swings in urban seats and a smaller swing in regional areas. The biggest swing to the conservatives in this recent era was 5.4% at the 2013 election. Looks like a Labor gain. Six things we’ve learnt from the election so far Scott Sawyer . 1 minutes ago. When I’m back tomorrow morning I will post some maps showing the scale of the swing (once we have more complete figures) and also put together analysis of the interim upper house results. Voters were also shifting from the Greens to the major parties with the LNP vote improving from 26.1 per cent in 2017 to 32 per cent, while Labor has improved from 31.4 per cent to 35 per cent. The Commission made a decision not to eliminate any rural seats, meaning that urban seats have been drawn a bit larger than is strictly necessary. I’ll be back in the morning with some posts and maps, and I’ll be trying to get out a podcast by the end of the day. Anyway, this post is just an opportunity for commenters to jump in with your thoughts on who you think will win (which I don’t think will be controversial), but also what the final vote count will be, and who will win specific seats in play. Logan council election 2020: Live coverage. Election 2016: what we know so far. 2020 Queensland state election: Murrumba; Party Candidate Votes % ±% Labor: Steven Miles: 17,433 50.55 +4.89 Liberal National: Yvonne Barlow 10,016 29.04 +3.31 6pm – Polls have just closed in Western Australia, in an election which has seen a record number of voters choose to vote early and is expected to produce a landslide victory for the McGowan Labor government. 6:55pm – We have about six booths reporting primary votes from Geraldton, and Labor is up by about 18%, putting the Labor candidate well over 50%. Their two seats on 10-12% (Carine and Churchlands) are too close to call, while the two seats held by margins of 14-15% (Cottesloe and Vasse) look like they will stay in Liberal hands. Queensland election 2020 ... follow live Qld election results. Division 3 is now the only area without any results published so far. They are polling 0.22 quotas in South West and about a third of a quota in Agricultural. If they recover there, they will have five seats. 2. Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Australia Prime Minister Scott Morrison has claimed victory in the 2019 election, with results showing the Liberal National coalition will be returned to government. If you’re looking for something to read in the meantime, you can check out my guide to the election. 47 to win. Instead the malapportionment in the upper house was made even worse. But that same process was unable to fix the malapportionment in the upper house, with a Greens upper house MP refusing to go along with the reform plans. The Electoral Commission of Queensland has stopped the count, with only the unofficial preliminary results publicly available so far. Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk is seen celebrating victory with supporters at The Blue Fin Fishing Club in Brisbane, Saturday, October 31, 2020. The long wait for results in the Queensland election is continuing with only a handful of seats called by the state's electoral commission so far. 30 Seats in doubt. Queensland Liberal National Party leader Deb Frecklington says she will call a party-room vote for a new leader once the election results are declared. The datasets do not yet include the upper house results, and I am yet to add latitudes and longitudes for the booths, but there’s enough in there to calculate the share of votes cast by voting method for each of the last five elections: !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");t&&(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}}))}(); It’s worth noting that ordinary election-day voting has held up better in Western Australia than in other jurisdictions. In the South West region, a small drop in the Nationals vote could see their preferences instead elect the Australian Christians. WA 2021 – the not-so-level playing field for the upper house, WA 2021 – the impact of the redistribution, Podcast #48: introduction to the WA election. The six upper house regions still cover roughly the same area and cover the same number of electorates. Overall this was a relatively modest redistribution without massive impacts. So Labor is leading in all nine Liberal seats held by a margin under 10%, plus Geraldton. In Cairns, there have been 3423 postal votes counted so far. I expect we’ll see a boost in pre-poll voting, and likely in postal voting too, and I’ll keep track if I can get data from the Electoral Commission over the next three weeks. Prior to the redistribution, a uniform swing of 5.8% against Labor would see Labor lose twelve seats and their majority. I have chronicled this story at the Covid-19 tag on this website. Admittedly, these are startling. It’s quite likely that 68% poll is an outlier, but we don’t really have much else. This is substantially higher than in past WA elections, but it isn’t as much of a departure as we saw in the ACT, where almost 70% of votes were cast as pre-poll votes, or in Queensland where the number was over 40%. RESULTS SO FAR. The Labor primary vote is up by 17% to 38.2%, while the Liberal vote is down to 45.5%. The biggest swing to the conservatives in this recent era was 5.4% at the 2013 election. Election results in Redlands at the 2017 QLD state election Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and One Nation primary votes. Follow our live count of the 2020 Queensland election results. The 2016 reforms both made it easier to vote below-the-line (just number six boxes) but also changed above-the-line voting so it became a more convenient way for voters to mark their own preferences for whole groups of candidates, instead of a method of surrendering control to a party. Picture: NCA NewsWire / Dan Peled. The ABC has called two seats for the Liberal Party (Cottesloe and Vasse) and three seats for the Nationals. 6.5% counted, Updated 1m ago. There are swings to Labor in these seats, but they don’t look to be enough to tip out the Liberal MPs. Expression of Interest; How are the votes counted; Electoral boundaries. The conservative parties had gained swings at three successive elections, slightly gaining support at the 2005 election, when Labor won a second term in power, before gaining larger swings in 2008 and 2013. Unbiased community page. The Liberal seat of Hillarys saw the margin cut from 4.1% to 0.1%. Copyright © 2021 Electoral Commission of Queensland.All rights reserved. Mayor: It was reported earlier this week Teresa Harding would become Ipswich's new mayor, aiming to give Ipswich a "fresh start" after more than 18 months being in administration. So far, the results are as follows; DIVISION 1 In this division, 47.85 per cent has been counted so far with Jan Clifford out in front holding 46.42 per cent of the vote. There are four others in play: the Liberals are trailing in Carine, Churchlands and Nedlands. It’s now 8am in Western Australia, and polls have just opened for election day. VOTER ANGER OVER CORONAVIRUS POLL. Overall 8.5% of voters have been moved to a new seat. I posted about these final margins on my blog in February 2020. Mayor: It was reported earlier this week Teresa Harding would become Ipswich's new mayor, aiming to give Ipswich a "fresh start" after more than 18 months being in administration. Learn more. Trump has so far refused to accept the election results, waging a legal strategy to contest them in courts and issuing false allegations of fraud. Here is where we end tonight in key mayoral races. The biggest swing to the conservatives in this recent era was 5.4% at the 2013 election. Remember, the ECQ must receive your postal vote by Tuesday, 16 March 2021 for your vote to be counted. This means that less than one quarter of all voters get to choose half the members of the upper house. The seat of Girrawheen was renamed Landsdale. Election events. It was also very common for rural electorates to be drawn with smaller populations than urban electorates, or for boundaries to be left unchanged as urban populations boomed. We don’t yet have any upper house figures but the Labor vote is high enough to give them a chance of winning four seats in a number of regions. QUEENSLAND ELECTION 2020: Latest updates and results ... We’re in the middle of an economic crisis and it is far from over. 8:08pm – The results so far are surprisingly uniform. Election day was not without its hurdles, with Ms Palaszczuk heckled by a LNP volunteer and challenged by her rival candidate to reopen Queensland’s borders while voting in Brisbane.. Ms Palaszczuk was speaking to reporters after casting her ballot in her southern Brisbane electorate of Inala, which she holds by 26.1 per cent, on Saturday morning. But as the results started to trickle in, one thing became obvious – this election has some significant winners and losers. 4:38am – That’s it for this liveblog. Jul 03, 2016 . 7:06pm – Labor also leading on small samples in Hillarys and Scarborough. There are ten seats where the margin changed by more than 2%. 6:57pm – In Darling Range, where Labor won in 2017 before losing the 2018 by-election, the Labor primary vote is up by about 9% compared to the 2017 victory, with four booths reporting. Overall, we haven’t had much polling for this election. Results for the Barcoo Shire Council Councillor by-election will be published progressively and can be found on the current election results page or via the link below:. This chart shows the trend for the state (in red) and each of the regions, which are all very similar. Six things we’ve learnt from the election so far ... State Election 2020: Rolling coverage as results come. Labor preferenced the Greens immediately in four regions, but that’s no good if the Labor surplus is too high and the Greens get knocked out first, or if Labor has no surplus. IF YOU DON’T VOTE, EXPECT A FINE . By now we all know to expect a landslide victory for WA Labor in this month’s state election. Queensland election results. Counting so far suggests Mr Watts won with almost 58 per cent of the two-party preferred vote, Mr Janetzki won with 61 … I suspect if they could close that gap they would benefit from Legalise Cannabis preferences and could win. Have a question or need help finding something? After each state election, the ECQ must provide a report to the Minister on the conduct of the election. The Legislative Council is elected from six regions. We have no data from Hillarys or South Perth, and just one tiny booth in Scarborough, but there is not one seat held by a margin of less than 8% where the Liberal candidate is on track to win. There was a slight increase in the number of candidates between 2001 and 2005, but nothing compared to the nominations at the 2017 and 2021 elections. I blogged about how the size of the candidate list (and thus the difficulty in casting a formal below-the-line vote) correlated with the informal rate, and with the proportion of voters who actually cast a formal below-the-line vote. Over the last year we have seen radical changes in the way people choose to cast their ballots amidst the Covid-19 pandemic. Logan City Council Election 2016. Photograph: Jono Searle/Getty Images Amy Remeikis. Declaring victory in the 2020 Queensland election, Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk thanked voters and said she would return that respect every day of the four-year term ahead. No data from Warren-Blackwood or Moore. If you like the show please considering rating and reviewing us on iTunes. I assume this is the vote cast on election day, but at the moment I can’t see which booths are reporting. Queensland election late counting . All the polls pointed to a historic Labor victory. This map shows the electorates. We return to the WA election today, with Ben joined by the ABC’s Jacob Kagi and the University of Sydney’s Stewart Jackson, who discuss the campaign and what to look out for on election night. We’re back for 2021, and on this week’s podcast Ben is joined by Christine Cunningham and Martin Drum to get us up to speed on Western Australian state politics and the early stages of the campaign for March’s state election. The malapportionment is even worse, since the South West region covers more electors than the Agricultural and Mining and Pastoral regions combined. The ABC's Antony Green has predicted the Coalition will win the 2019 federal election; Bill Shorten has conceded defeat and will stand down as Labor leader Legalise Cannabis picks up microparty preferences until they overtake the Greens. [Qld election results bar graph] ... Labor has so far seen a swing of 5.1 per cent. We did not see a rural seat abolished and replaced by a new urban seat, as has happened in previous redistributions. COUNCILLOR. Three of these seats (in North Metro, South Metro and South West) are solid. Wednesday 3pm: Mackay council election results have been updated on the Electoral Commission Queensland website for the first time in three days. Perth, WA. ... Nationals MP George Christensen has formed a bizarre conclusion from tonight’s somewhat surprising election results so far. In the meantime you can use this post to discuss the events of the day. 3:45am – Just a quick update about the state of play in the lower house races. Roe and Central Wheatbelt look safe. Western Australia conducts redistributions of the state electoral boundaries every four years, so each election sees a new set of electoral boundaries. 7 Brett Qualischefski looks set to enter the council, and claim the seat left vacant by Kath McLean, polling 10.34 per cent of the vote, or 10143 votes. I’ve recently expanded my data repository to include data from the 2001, 2005 and 2008 Western Australian state elections (thanks to Armarium Interreta for help compiling the booth-level data). Results for the Barcoo Shire Council By-election will be published here progressively. Write CSS OR LESS and hit save. harry bruce’s view on the election results so far KEPPEL DECIDES: Lauga edges closer to victory in vote count ROCKHAMPTON DECIDES: ALP close to victory as count continues All of that can only be done with the support of donors. CTRL + SPACE for auto-complete. Prior to the 2016 Senate reforms, voters who wished to opt out of the group voting ticket system needed to number almost every box below the line, which peaked at 110 candidates for the New South Wales Senate contest in 2013. So they built their way up to a large majority. Labor is sitting on 58.3% of the primary vote, which is a swing of 16.1%. All those Labor seats are either won off a full quota or 99% of a quota on primary votes, so look pretty solid. There’s also a 14.4% swing to the Labor candidate in the first booth to report in Zak Kirkup’s seat of Dawesville. 7. So far, the results are as follows; DIVISION 1 In this division, 47.85 per cent has been counted so far with Jan Clifford out in front holding 46.42 per cent of the vote. SEE ALL THE QUEENSLAND TIMES ELECTION COVERAGE. On current numbers has pretty much an exact quota in three regions: Agricultural, Mining and Pastoral and North Metro, although in two of those cases it would actually be the Shooters who would be first in line for Labor preferences. Meanwhile the Nationals are also trailing in North West Central and ahead in Warren-Blackwood. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");t&&(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}}))}(); Two things jump out: the last election produced the biggest win for Labor over this period, and the previous election in 2013 produced the biggest win ever for the Liberal and Nationals parties. Nine seats experienced no population change: Armadale, Belmont, Forrestfield, Geraldton, Kalgoorlie, Maylands, Mount Lawley, Southern River, Thornlie and Warnbro. We don’t have data for Carine, so we could well see the Liberal team reduced to four seats if they don’t recover in any of the more marginal seats. Updated Updated 02/12/2017 Share Apologies for that error. 7.45PM: CLOSE to 30 per cent of the votes have been counted so far and McCallum remains in the lead at … You can see the full list of old and new margins there, along with links to the alternative calculations from Antony Green and William Bowe, which are mostly very similar. The neighbouring seat of Mirrabooka only contains 57% of its previous population, while West Swan only contains 61% of its previous population. With millions of votes tallied, Queensland's election results are finally in, with Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk re-elected for a third term. Up until 2008, the rural regions tended to produce the higher rates of below-the-line voting, but since 2013 urban regions have tended to top the list. This is a community forum which is not affiliated with any level of government. Election 2016: what we know so far. Share this: Facebook; Twitter; 20 COMMENTS. Labor Party. The other three regions cover the remainder of the state. Spending thousands of dollars in political advertising is a long-running theme for Mr Palmer, who bought ad space as far back as 2012 to criticise the Newman Queensland government. Good luck! The polls predict it, and even the Liberal leader has acknowledged it. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");t&&(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}}))}(); It’s worth noting that I call it “below-the-line” voting but until 2017 the Western Australian upper house ballot paper was vertical, so these were really “right-of-the-line” votes. The rate rose to a new peak in 2013, and then declined slightly in 2017. 6:42pm – Antony Green has called the election. In South Metro, the Greens are in a stronger position to win in part because Labor has about a quarter of a quota in surplus – which is handy but not enough to overtake the Greens. Yarrabah mayor Ross Andrews looks like adding another notch to his belt with a … Just one seat was changed sufficiently to require a change in name. The uniform swing now required is 5.9%. Results for the Barcoo Shire Council Councillor by-election will be published progressively and can be found on the current election results page or via the link below: Results and statistics for the 2020 State general election, 2020 local government elections and the Winton, Rockhampton, Townsville, Torres Strait Island, Aurukun, Currumbin and Bundamba by-elections can be found on the recent election results page or via the links below: The past election information and results portal provides detailed information on past Queensland by-elections, local, state and quadrennial elections and state referendums and council de-amalgamation polls. Queensland election results 2020. It’s plausible this is about where they will end up due to Labor squeezing the Greens, but we may see some recovery once the large numbers of special votes are counted. Winton Shire Council By-election; Rockhampton Regional Council By-election; Townsville City Council By-election; Election results and statistics; Working at an election.
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